πŸ“ˆ TKer by Sam Ro

πŸ“ˆ TKer by Sam Ro

A note about federal layoffs πŸ›οΈ

On one hand, they're arguably small. On the other hand, it could get a lot worse. πŸ€”

Sam Ro, CFA's avatar
Sam Ro, CFA
Feb 26, 2025
βˆ™ Paid
U.S. employers continue to hire far more workers than they lay off. (Source: BLS via FRED)

U.S. employers lay off a lot of workers every month, even when the economy is booming.

Over the past four years, 1.2 million to 1.9 million workers have been laid off each month. Yet the unemployment rate has hovered near 50-year lows through most of this period.

This counterintuitive dynamic is explained by the fact that employers hired 5.2 million to 6.9 million workers as they worked to fill 7.3 million to 12.2 million job openings in any given month during this period.

The U.S. labor market is complicated. So we should always be careful about jumping to conclusions on news about layoffs or hiring.

That brings us to the federal layoffs being brought by the Trump administration’s Department of Government Efficiency.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Sam Ro, CFA.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
Β© 2025 Samuel Ro Β· Privacy βˆ™ Terms βˆ™ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture