๐Ÿ“ˆ TKer by Sam Ro

๐Ÿ“ˆ TKer by Sam Ro

The Fedโ€™s coming rate hikes don't spell doom for stocks ๐Ÿ›

Earnings could keep growing as the Fed raises rates ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Sam Ro, CFA's avatar
Sam Ro, CFA
Feb 09, 2022
โˆ™ Paid
The S&P 500 rallied during 12 of the past 13 rate-hike cycles, registering 8.1% average annualized gains.

Historically, stocks have climbed during periods when the Federal Reserve embarked on a new cycle of interest-rate hikes.

The S&P 500 rallied during 12 of the past 13 rate-hike cycles, according to BofAโ€™s Jared Woodard. On average, the index climbed 16% during the cycles, which amounts to 8.1% annualized.

Sure, higher interest rates mean higher financing costs, which would be an economic headwind, all else equal.

However, the Fed usually begins to tighten monetary policy during periods when the economy is growing and has some momentum. And economic growth tends to be associated with corporate earnings growth. As TKer readers know, earnings are the most important driver of stock prices.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Sam Ro, CFA.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
ยฉ 2025 Samuel Ro ยท Privacy โˆ™ Terms โˆ™ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture